Immediately cruise line Regent Seven Seas launched the luxury Seven Seas Explorer in 2016, it marketed it to the world as the most luxurious ship ever made. By my numbers, CCL stock could rally 70%+ over the next 18 months. The stock market has kept ticking higher. Royal Caribbean is the second largest cruise line operator. ET by MarketWatch Automation Royal Caribbean extends cruise … In that grim scenario, you'd be hard-pressed to argue that Norwegian Cruise Line wouldn't be the first to capitulate. The DISNEY CRUISE LINE brand is owned by THE WALT DISNEY COMPANY , a company listed in New York. It's not fair to say that all cruise lines are in the same boat. "I say: What did you expect? Travel stocks were some of the first to go. re: best cruise line stock Posted by go ta hell ole miss on 12/2/20 at 8:35 pm to Auburn1968 quote: Then too even after covid is knocked out, there is the longer term economic damage that has been done. I think that going long is a … Should investors stay away from cruise line stocks for now? Shares of Royal Caribbean have fallen 45% in 2020 as we head into the final two trading weeks of the year. Best for Adventure: Lindblad Expeditions "Includes cruises through Patagonia and the Galapagos to Antarctica and the Amazon." The cruise lines need money. Carnival (CCL +12.4%), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH +15.2%) and Royal Caribbean (RCL +13.7%) are all breaking higher on hopes that cruise demand will … Since 1995, Rick has been writing for The Motley Fool, where he's a consumer and tech stocks specialist. ... you’re a glutton for punishment and have no fear of risk— we’re talking really big risks in recent months—then cruise line stocks might be the … Under those assumptions, $2.40 seems like a doable earnings per share target for Carnival by 2022. Cumulative Growth of a $10,000 Investment in Stock Advisor, Ranking Cruise Line Stocks in 2021 Is as Easy as 1, 2, 3 @themotleyfool #stocks $CCL $RCL $CUK $NCLH, All Cruise Lines Now Agree: No Voyages Until May, Wall Street Was Busy Selling These 2 Stocks in 2020, The 4 Robinhood Stocks Wall Street Hates the Most, Copyright, Trademark and Patent Information. For the other half of the year, cruise capacity will be significantly depressed — if those planned cruises run at all. My base case for Norwegian broadly follows my base case for Carnival and Royal Caribbean. Ranking Cruise Line Stocks in 2021 Is as Easy as 1, 2, 3. The next stock is Norwegian Cruise Line, the third largest of the world’s major cruise lines. First, the big drop. Market data powered by FactSet and Web Financial Group. Despite trading at multi-decade lows and significant insider buying, cruise lines like Carnival (NYSE:CCL) are highly unattractive investments, particularly compared to Air Canada … Yes, that's a long time with more than 20,000 bylines over those 24 years. Jan. 22, 2021, Don’t Buy CCIV Stock Now. The cruise lines listed above aren’t known for being cheap. There are also economies of scale here, and the $20.8 billion that Carnival generated in revenue last year is more than the combined top-line results of its two smaller peers. Cruise Line Stock #1 – Royal Caribbean Cruise Lines (RCL) Royal Caribbean Cruises was founded in 1969 and since that time, has grown into six different brands that have 40 cruise ships in service. However, even if Norwegian keeps extending its cancellations (the latest nixing pushes out its restart until March), favorable news on the vaccine front may make some of the strict measures that Norwegian Cruise Line and Royal Caribbean agreed to this fall moot. The Wall Street firm upgraded shares of Royal Caribbean, Carnival and Norwegian Cruise Line to overweight from equal weight, sending shares of the group surging. Cruise line operators are eager to restart cruises and welcome back passengers, but face sharp one-time costs in advance of the relaunches. A cruise line is a company that operates cruise ships and markets cruises on oceans or rivers to the public. The stock has a 52-week high of $59.78 and a 52-week low of $7.03. Carnival and Norwegian Cruise Line have both taken a 57% hit this year. All of that together makes Carnival one of the best cruise stocks to consider buying now. The overarching argument for the bulls is that cruise lines are getting closer to setting sail once again. Stock Advisor launched in February of 2002. We can start with margins. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. NCLH is a global cruise company which operates the Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Seas Cruises brands. Last, but not least, on this list of cruise stocks to buy is Norwegian Cruise Line. There are just three major publicly traded players, but they're not all built the same. Founded in 1993 by brothers Tom and David Gardner, The Motley Fool helps millions of people attain financial freedom through our website, podcasts, books, newspaper column, radio show, and premium investing services. Consumer mobility has increased. 1125 N. Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201. Best for: Active families who enjoy non-stop entertainment. When cruise lines began to offer passengers on canceled sailings the choice of cash refunds or 125% in the form of future cruise credits, Royal Caribbean had the largest percentage of customers push their payments into 2021 and 2022 voyages. Through it all, the U.S. economic recovery has persisted. The best way to value these cruise lines stocks is based on liquidity to survive a weak 2020 with positioning towards a stronger time in 2021.Unlike the airlines that have … The stock has an average price target of … As of this writing, he did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. I've been hard on Norwegian Cruise Line this year, and ranking it third in a three-dog race may seem like another insult. Cruise stocks have been on a wild roller-coaster ride in 2020. Global travel trends will start to look like they did in 2019. Under those very basic and reasonable assumptions, my modeling suggests that by 2022, Norwegian’s earnings per share could rebound to $2.50, which is well within the range of Wall Street’s estimates. The headlines were pretty brutal with all of the COVID-19 outbreaks that took place on cramped cruise ships this year. Investors in Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH Quick Quote NCLH - Free Report) need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves … The three biggest cruise line stocks are Royal Caribbean , Norwegian Cruise Line , and market leader Carnival . Royal Caribbean stock was the best performing in 2020, even if the victory is only on a relative basis. Without question, the coronavirus has devastated cruise stocks, including Carnival (NYSE: CCL).In fact, since 2020 began, Carnival stock has plunged from a high of $51.34 to … Copyright © 2021 InvestorPlace Media, LLC. Best large ship cruise lines 1. Carnival (NYSE:CCL)(NYSE:CUK), Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL), and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NYSE:NCLH) have all suspended operations since March, and they aren't expected to resume the bulk of their operations until at least a couple of months into 2021. It should repeat the feat in 2021 as it leads the way back to revenue-generating cruises. Fiscal 2021 will be a much better year. Being the silver medalist in terms of size may not seem like a winning recipe for the best-performing cruise line stock, but there are a lot of advantages that Royal Caribbean has over its underperforming peers. That combination implies a fair 2021 price target for CCL stock of over $31 — or more than 70% above where shares trade today. If we're not sailing on cruise ships by the end of next year, you're kidding yourself if you think all three players would survive nearly two years of disruption. Find out if it is the time to buy Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH). https://travel.usnews.com/cruises/best-cruise-lines-for-the-money CNBC's Jim Cramer urged investors to be wary of piling into airline and cruise stocks. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.(NYSE:NCLH): While airline operators see pandemic relief coming their way, the news keeps getting worse for cruise lines. Fiscal 2019 revenues were around $11 billion. Regent Seven Seas Cruises. Within the Travel – Cruises industry, it is ranked #2 of 5 stocks. As the smallest of the three players, it is the most vulnerable to buckling in an industry shake-out. Norwegian Cruise Line dropped 8.24% to $16.59 per share while Carnival Corp.'s stock sank 7.76% to $14.03. I warned you that cruise line stocks had some ugly year-to-date performances. Norwegian Cruise Line's current share price divided by its per-share earnings (EPS) over a 12-month period gives a "trailing price/earnings ratio" of roughly 4x. * 10 Consumer Stocks to Buy to Ride the Post-Covid-19 Wave To that end, the best cruise stocks to buy as the world gets back to "normal" are: * Carnival (NYSE:CCL) * Royal Caribbean … You still shouldn't bet against Carnival. Read on to find out the best cruise ship lines to see which one best matches your preferences. That is, a really bad year in 2020, followed by a strong recovery in 2021, and a further recovery in 2022 to traffic and revenue levels nearly on par with 2019 levels. MSC Cruises 86.05 If you think that's bad, check the competition. I still rank the three stocks as Royal Caribbean first, Carnival second, and Norwegian Cruise Line third, but all three will outperform the overall market if the cruise industry recovers in the year ahead. MEGA SHIPS (More than 4,000 passengers) 3. Best Luxury Cruise: Silversea "Silversea’s five-star service and all-inclusive pricing is difficult to beat." But management has said that 2021 bookings are trending in a “normal” range, implying that next year could be a huge bounce-back year for the cruise line operator. By fiscal 2022, things should be largely back to “normal” for Carnival. Then, the big rebound. Cruise Stocks: Bon Voyage. If you’re looking for a less pricey mid-tier cruise line, these are known for having a wide array of dining options — with gourmet restaurants available if you’d like to splurge just for a night. (See Royal Caribbean stock analysis on TipRanks) Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Comprised of three brands that include Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Seas Cruises… Operating margins in 2019 were about 19%. In line with this stance, Montour rates the stock a Neutral (i.e. Its monthly cash-burn rate of $530 million is more than the money being squandered at Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line combined. Assuming so, Carnival’s fiscal 2022 revenues should be awfully close to where they were in fiscal 2019 (approximately $21 billion). It has raised more money than its two rivals combined. Financial Market Data powered by FinancialContent Services, Inc. All rights reserved. To that end, the best cruise stocks to buy as the world gets back to “normal” are: Let’s look at what makes each worth considering in this post-Covid-19 world. 1125 N. Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201. Profit margins concurrently recover. Year-to-date, Norwegian Cruise, Carnival Corporation, and Royal Caribbean Cruises stocks have fallen 74, 70, and 57 percent, respectively. 3 Cruise Stocks to Buy as the World Returns to Normal, Consumer search interest in all things travel related, Louis Navellier and the InvestorPlace Research Staff, A Play on the Biggest Scientific Breakthrough of the Century, What Did the Stock Market Do? U.S. News ranks the 8 Best Cruise Lines for the Money based on expert analysis and traveler opinion to help you find the best cruise for your budget. Its larger rivals have pumped their debt loads by more, but no one has done its future per-share profitability more harm during the lull than Norwegian Cruise Line with all of the new shares printed in 2020. 7 Best Cruise Stocks Seeking to Set Sail Again in 2021 Dec. 3, 2020 at 2:23 p.m. Against that backdrop, stocks will keep rallying — especially recovery-sensitive, mobility stocks, like cruise stocks. Why is Carnival stock the best cruise line stock despite that bad publicity? A Caltech graduate, Luke has consistently been recognized as one of the best stock pickers in the world by various other analysts and platforms, and has developed a reputation for leveraging his technology background to identify growth stocks that deliver outstanding returns. Royal Caribbean is this year's best performer, and obviously losing nearly half of its value in a single year is not a good look. Royal Caribbean. That mental framework pegs Norwegian’s 2022 revenues around $6 billion, and its profit margins around 10% to 12%. Concurrent to that, Carnival will increase cruise capacity. Published on March 11th, 2020 by Josh Arnold. 6 days ago. Shares of Royal Caribbean have fallen 45% in 2020 as we head into the final two trading weeks … Carnival Corp (NYSE: CCL ) is a global cruise … The Switzerland-based cruise line fell to the bottom of the 2020 ranking for the second year in a row with a score of just 57 per cent, with its customer service and food ranking poorly. Wall Street agrees with Montour on this one. Under the hood, what’s happening is that “cabin fever” is finally getting to consumers and “nearly bankrupt” businesses are desperate to get back to some semblance of normal. Royal Caribbean. Cruise lines are distinct from passenger lines … Assuming so, by 2022, Royal Caribbean’s revenue profile should look a lot like it did in 2019. For more than half of the year, the company will run zero cruises. Norwegian Cruise Line stock trades at $54.67 and has returned a cruising YTD gain of almost 30% as of Sept. 11, 2019. Assisting that bounce-back will be a potential Covid-19 vaccine in early 2021, low travel prices, potential travel subsidies, pent-up demand and increasing consumer confidence that virus risks can be managed … even on a cruise ship. Norwegian entered the COVID crisis with some important structural advantages … publicly traded Cruise Lines companies. At the same time, cruise lines began to sell stock, bonds, and secured notes to raise capital to ensure the continuation of operations even as no cruises were setting sail. However, analysts commonly use some key metrics to help gauge the value of a stock. However, Carnival will be in the best positive to market its product when it's time to turn on the marketing spigot again. Cruise lines may be sailing at full capacity soon if the pandemic is tackled early in 2021, and all of the players will be smarter and leaner after months of fine-tuning their businesses. The best-performing ETF in the past 12 months with RCL as a holding is the Direxion Daily Consumer Discretionary Bull 3x Shares (WANT), with a return of 54.97%. The smallest of the big three publicly traded cruise lines, Norwegian Cruise stock currently carries a market capitalization of only $6.7 billion. Now, the cruise line stock will rebound by more than 50% as those fears abate and business trends recover over the next 12 to 18 months. If you invest $4,000 and typically take four cruises per year, each one with $100 in onboard credit (i.e., free spending money), your investment "earns" $400 or 10 percent per year. All rights reserved. Travel stocks in general have been bad bets for investors in 2021, and cruise line stocks are among the industry's biggest losers. re: best cruise line stock Posted by Auburn1968 on 12/2/20 at 4:17 pm to Otto Scorzany For me, it's really a question as to how long it will take them to come back. quotes delayed at least 15 minutes, all others at least 20 minutes. Most recently, another big drop, on fears that a “second wave” of the novel coronavirus is emerging across the U.S. A big and sustainable rally, meaning now is the time to buy cruise stocks. As such, consumers and businesses alike are both increasingly learning how to keep the world turning while simultaneously managing Covid-19 risks via things like social distancing, plastic barriers and mask-wearing. Overall economic activity has sustainably perked up. Under those assumptions, my modeling suggests $6 in 2022 earnings per share is doable. Best River: Viking River Cruises "Operates more than 70 vessels and continues to rake in awards and accolades." All rights reserved. Fiscal 2022 revenues should recover to roughly $10.5 billion. Every cruise line may argue that it has the most loyal customer base, but Royal Caribbean can quantify the devotion. Profit margins won’t rebound to where they had been historically — roughly 17% average operating margin from 2015 to 2019 — but should recover to a lower steady-state around 10% to 12% thanks to higher cleaning and maintenance costs. "I say: What did you expect? ET on InvestorPlace.com Expect a Major Turnaround with Royal Caribbean The cruise lines need money. Article printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2020/06/3-cruise-stocks-to-buy-as-the-world-returns-to-normal/. Norwegian Cruise Line dropped 8.24% to $16.59 per share while Carnival Corp.'s stock sank 7.76% to $14.03. Based on a historically average 12-times forward earnings multiple, that implies a 2021 price target for NCLH stock of $30. (See NCLH stock analysis on TipRanks)Carnival Corporation (CCL)Last up, Carnival, is the world’s largest cruise line, with a market cap of $23.25 billion, more than 100 ships … CCL stock historically trades at 13-times forward earnings. It has held up … Cruise line operators tend to see immense earnings-per … First, this is the biggest cruise line operator. Let's take a closer look at each of these companies. He earned his BBA and MBA from the University of Miami, and he splits his time living in Miami, Florida and Celebration, Florida. Cruise operator stocks have suffered a brutal start to the year, as travelers postpone voyages over fears of the coronavirus. Of course, fiscal 2020 for this company will be awful. When considering what names to put on your watch list, look for stocks … It's been a rough ride for cruise line stocks this year, but I've argued in the past that Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL) is the best stock to own in this volatile industry. The 15 reviews on CCL break down to 2 Buys, 10 Holds, and 3 Sells, making the analyst consensus a Hold. People should look to companies that are less dependent on a smooth economic … Cruises especially. Based on a historically-average 13-times forward earnings multiple, that implies a 2021 price target for RCL stock of $78. 7 Best Cruise Stocks Seeking to Set Sail Again in 2021 Cruise lines have been hit hard this year, but they will be able to test the waters again soon By Alex Sirois Dec 3, 2020, … Norwegian Cruise Line's P/E ratio. Still, it will likely take another year until cruise travel trends fully recover. Let's rank them from best to worst in terms of investing potential for the year ahead. Royal Caribbean is the second largest cruise line operator. What are the biggest cruise line stocks? Three big reasons. It's quite possible that 2021 is a bull market for cruise line stocks, even if the general market doesn't play along. Cruise stocks like Carnival (NYSE:CCL), Norwegian Cruise Line … He has been professionally analyzing stocks for several years, previously working at various hedge funds and currently running his own investment fund in San Diego. Norwegian Cruise Line is third on this list, but that doesn't mean that it's going to be a bad investment. Cruise line investors are probably feeling pretty good these days. The vaccine will have been in circulation for more than a year. With a combined fleet of 28 ships, these brands offer cruises to more than 490 destinations worldwide. (See Royal Caribbean stock analysis on TipRanks) Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Comprised of three brands that include Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Seas Cruises… Royal Caribbean has historically been able to command higher markups for its cruises, and this means that it will have the easiest path back to profitability when the industry starts sailing again. Copyright © ; UBS … Norwegian Cruise Line stock trades at $54.67 and has returned a cruising YTD gain of almost 30% as of Sept. 11, 2019. I n the 2020 Readers' Choice Awards, you voted for your favourite cruise lines to take you anywhere in the world – from the coast of the Caribbean to the rivers of Europe.This is how you voted – with scores representing overall average levels of satisfaction. NCLH stock benefits are available to anyone who owns at least 100 shares of stock through Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. at the time of their scheduled sailing. Luke Lango is a Markets Analyst for InvestorPlace. Best budget-friendly cruise lines for food. The Best Credit Cards Of 2021. Carnival doesn't get top honors here because Royal Caribbean's margins and passenger fandom are stronger. Luke is also the founder of Fantastic, a social discovery company backed by an LA-based internet venture firm. The virus will be more than two years old. 1. Another industry that has been nothing short of devastated by the impact of the coronavirus is the cruise industry. The three biggest cruise line stocks are Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL), Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:NCLH), and market leader Carnival (NYSE:CCL). Norwegian Cruise Line shares were trading down 6.17% at $23.25. That’s up about 50% from where RCL stock currently trades. Find the best Cruise Lines Stocks to buy. Hold). The company has seen its share count and long-term debt increase 26% and 73%, respectively, through the first nine months of this year, and that's not bueno. Consumers will get more comfortable with riding on cruises, especially if prices remain discounted and if a vaccine is approved by early 2021. Right now there isn't much of an advantage to being the world's largest cruise line operator. Thus, shares have visible runway to more than 65% upside over the next 18 months. Nasdaq DISNEY CRUISE LINE, created in 2007 (United States), has more than 1 052 sister brands and more than 1 338 competing brands. Returns as of 01/24/2021. Hold a position in any of the first to go lines have been a. Families who enjoy non-stop entertainment it should repeat the feat in 2021 a. Place on cramped cruise ships and markets cruises on oceans or rivers to the public cruise 1. Numbers, CCL stock could rally 70 % + over the next 18 months to argue that it retired... Doubles as one of the first to go 7.76 % to $ 14.03 key to! That cruise line stocks, like cruise stocks to buy Norwegian cruise line is a bull market for line. 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